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WAR IN IRAQ /
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Sunnis Reject Early Iraq Election Results, Calling for Inquiry

By EDWARD WONG
New York Times


BAGHDAD, Iraq, Dec. 20 - Sunni Arab leaders angrily rejected early election results on Tuesday, saying the vote had been fixed in favor of Iranian-backed religious Shiites and calling for an investigation into possible fraud. Secular politicians also denounced the results and demanded an inquiry.

The growing fury threatened to build into a protracted confrontation that could delay the formation of the new four-year government.

That process is already expected to take weeks, if not months. American diplomats here are pushing Iraqi politicians to speed up the negotiations so as not to lose momentum from the elections last Thursday.

The rejection of the early results, the first of which were released Monday, also raised the possibility that Sunni Arab politicians could boycott the political process, as they have done several times in the last year.

The Bush administration's plans to temper the Sunni-led insurgency and reduce the American troop presence are predicated on Sunni Arabs' entering the new government. Any withdrawal by those politicians would be a serious setback for the White House.

"In order for Iraq to succeed, there has to be cross-ethnic and cross-sectarian cooperation," the American ambassador, Zalmay Khalilzad, said Tuesday.

The Sunni Arabs' denunciations came despite the election commission's release of new results on Tuesday that showed the main religious Sunni coalition leading in Sunni-dominated provinces.

In all, the early results account for 90 percent of the roughly 10.5 million ballots cast, electoral officials said. But certified results will not be announced until early January because the commission has to investigate about 700 complaints, at least 20 of which are serious, said Adel al-Lami, the commission's general director.

Those inquiries could change the outcome, Mr. Lami said in a telephone interview. He added that early results for the remaining 10 percent of the ballots would not be announced immediately because of inquiries into possible voting irregularities. Teams of Iraqi electoral officials and United Nations advisers have been sent out to scrutinize votes in eight provinces, Mr. Lami said.

The complaints of both the Sunni Arab parties and the main secular coalition led by Ayad Allawi, the former prime minister and White House favorite, center on results from provinces with diverse ethnic and religious groups, especially Baghdad.

The Sunni Arabs and Mr. Allawi had expected to perform well in the capital, where 59 of the 275 seats in Parliament are up for grabs, far more than in any other province. The early results, which account for 89 percent of the vote here, show that the religious Shiite coalition, the United Iraqi Alliance, has taken a wide lead, with 58 percent of the votes.

The main Sunni coalition, the Iraqi Consensus Front, has come in with 19 percent, and Mr. Allawi's group with a dismal 14 percent. Both groups have filed formal complaints against the Shiite coalition, accusing it of everything from ripping down posters to casting fake ballots.

"We reject the results that have been announced by the electoral commission," Adnan al-Dulaimi, a Sunni coalition leader, said at a news conference. "If the electoral commission doesn't adopt very strict measures against these violations, we are going to call for another election."

Saleh al-Mutlak, a prominent ex-Baathist heading one Sunni party, insisted that international groups take the lead in investigating the election.

"We call on the international community to intervene," he said at a separate news conference. "We call on the president of the United States not to add another mistake to the mistakes already made in Iraq"

Experts on insurgencies say the former ruling Sunni Arabs may have decided to take part in the vote last Thursday rather than boycott it so as to regain some power and work from inside to subvert the political process. If that is true, then the rejection of the early results could be the first step in trying to slow down and ultimately sabotage the process of forming a government.
The outrage over the early results erupted as the latest tallies showed that Sunni Arab parties are expected to get at least 40 to 50 seats in the 275-seat Parliament, a three-fold increase over the number of Sunni Arabs in the transitional assembly.
Because of its strong showing in Baghdad and the south, the main Shiite coalition is on track to win at least 120 parliamentary seats. The main Kurdish coalition and a splinter group, the Kurdistan Islamic Union, dominated the three provinces of Iraqi Kurdistan and will get about the same number of seats as the Sunni Arabs. Mr. Allawi is expected to get fewer, perhaps considerably so.

On Tuesday, the electoral commission released early results for 7 of Iraq's 18 provinces, after having announced results for the first 11 on Monday. Those seven included Anbar, Nineveh and Diyala, which have heavy Sunni Arab populations.

The Sunni-led Iraqi Consensus Front came in first in all three provinces, with an especially strong showing in the virulently anti-American region of Anbar, where it captured 74 percent of the vote. Mr. Mutlak's party came in second there with 18 percent, and Mr. Allawi was a distant third at 3 percent.
A two-thirds vote of Parliament is needed to install an executive, so the various parties will have to form alliances. The early results show the Shiite coalition has by far the greatest mandate, and it will be difficult, though not impossible, for candidates like Mr. Allawi to mount a viable bid for the prime minister's post. Last spring, after three months of haggling, the Shiites united with the Kurds to gain a two-thirds majority and install a government.

This time, those two blocs may not achieve the two-thirds majority, or 184 seats, if they were to band together, and so may look for partners. The main question is whether they will invite a significant number of Sunni Arabs to join them, even though the Sunni Arabs clash with the Shiites and Kurds on the most fundamental issue - whether Iraq should have autonomous regions or a strong central government.
A coalition of Shiites and Kurds could pull in smaller parties rather than woo the conservative Sunnis.

If Sunni Arabs are shut out of power, that could fuel the insurgency.

In the latest attack, guerrillas abducted a driver for the Jordanian Embassy. Gunmen killed three civilians in two separate incidents, while insurgents shot dead a police officer.








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